Heading back out after a quick Twitter catchup for the final few hours before the polls close twitter.com/Mike4Eastleigh…— Mike Thornton (@Mike4Eastleigh) February 28, 2013
Just persuaded a life-long non-voter to go and vote Labour. Unless he meets the Elvis Loves Pets candidate on the way there— John O'Farrell (@mrjohnofarrell) February 28, 2013
Voters in Eastleigh, you have until 10PM to have your voice heard. Vote for me to become your MP and make history!— Diane James (@DianeUKIP) February 28, 2013
Good for Clegg, crisis for Cameron, victory for Nigel Farage, who will give the Tories the fright of their life. Expect open revolt in the Conservative party, and calls from backbenchers to move policy further to the right, even if the maths shows that UKIP bled protest votes from all the parties rather than right-leaning Tories.
A mess for the Conservatives and a dull win for the Lib Dems. No doubt this a worrying time for the Conservatives and, for the first time, the leadership of David Cameron. Labour did well as they had the best candidate for the future and the next election. Ukip did well too as they took Tory votes yet again and split the vote in Eastleigh.
If you were to apply the "who's looking glummest" approach to electoral forecasting, then the Tories are going to come third. There's a row of about a dozen of them, wearing rosettes and sitting on the elevated benches at the back of the hall, all looking as if they are attending a funeral. Party officials still insist that it is too early to know, but they don't look as if they are anticipating a triumph.
Tory MP told me today that vote had 'collapsed'.Spent 90 minutes on phone, spoke to zero Tory voters. #eastleigh could be gloomy for Cameron— Sam Macrory (@sammacrory) February 28, 2013
Source at the count: UKIP looking v strong, might well have beaten Tories to 2nd. Labour in v low double digits, going to be a poor 4th— James Forsyth (@JGForsyth) February 28, 2013
Ironic. If Farage had stood in Eastleigh he'd have been Nigel Farage MP tomorrow.— Dan Hodges (@DPJHodges) February 28, 2013
In other by-election news, LibDems have held hyper-marginal and affluent Berrylands ward in Kingston. LD vote holding up in LD/Con seats— Mark Gettleson (@polhomepulse) February 28, 2013
Labour now predicting a lib victory with UKIP a clear second and an increase in the Labour share of vote.Big loser; David Cameron— Patrick Wintour (@patrickwintour) March 1, 2013
Not sure that it is just "Labour spin machine (that) has cranked into action" as you put it. I seem to recall their sampling in the last six byelections at this stage was pretty accurate.
The single most important conclusion from tonight: David Cameron has never won a general election. If he can't win #Eastleigh he never will.— tom_watson (@tom_watson) March 1, 2013
Agent Shapps. Mission accomplished. Over. Return to Labour HQ and await further instructions. Over. Your career is. Over #bbctw— John Prescott (@johnprescott) March 1, 2013
Fox News reporting a late surge for Romney. #Eastleigh— Jack Tindale (@JackTindale) March 1, 2013
If the Tories come third in #Eastleigh tonight, I blame (in no particular order) Labour, G Brown, Snow, Rain, The Royal Wedding & Immigrants— Éoin(@DrEoinCl) March 1, 2013